Bremain-ul ar putea sustine o apreciere a monedelor din CEE

Un vot in favoarea ramanerii Marii Britanii in Uniunea Europeana ar putea da un impuls pozitiv monedelor nationale ale economiilor din Centrul si Estul Europei, intre care si Romania, spuneau analistii Erste Bank intr-un raport publicat pe 20 iunie.

Unele banci centrale vor interveni pentru a controla volatilitatea din piata valutara, unele vor permite o apreciere, dar presiunea va fi in sensul cresterii in raport cu euro.

We believe that the vote is creating some investment opportunities in CEE currencies (see On Radar section). In the case of Bremain, CEE currencies will take back all of the losses from the previous weeks.

In the case of Brexit, central banks in Croatia, Romania and Serbia would intervene to reduce volatility, while Poland and Hungary would allow their currencies to depreciate above 4.50 EUR/PLN and 318 EUR/HUF, respectively.

Bremain-ul

Vezi raportul Erste: 2016-06-20_FX_CEE

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